Building a NetHack bot: is Bayesian Analysis a good strategy? - artificial-intelligence

A friend of mine is beginning to build a NetHack bot (a bot that plays the Roguelike game: NetHack). There is a very good working bot for the similar game Angband, but it works partially because of the ease in going back to the town and always being able to scum low levels to gain items.
In NetHack, the problem is much more difficult, because the game rewards ballsy experimentation and is built basically as 1,000 edge cases.
Recently I suggested using some kind of naive bayesian analysis, in very much the same way spam is created.
Basically the bot would at first build a corpus, by trying every possible action with every item or creature it finds and storing that information with, for instance, how close to a death, injury of negative effect it was. Over time it seems like you could generate a reasonably playable model.
Can anyone point us in the right direction of what a good start would be? Am I barking up the wrong tree or misunderstanding the idea of bayesian analysis?
Edit: My friend put up a github repo of his NetHack patch that allows python bindings. It's still in a pretty primitive state but if anyone's interested...

Although Bayesian analysis encompasses much more, the Naive Bayes algorithm well known from spam filters is based on one very fundamental assumption: all variables are essentially independent of each other. So for instance, in spam filtering each word is usually treated as a variable so this means assuming that if the email contains the word 'viagra', that knowledge does affect the probability that it will also contain the word 'medicine' (or 'foo' or 'spam' or anything else). The interesting thing is that this assumption is quite obviously false when it comes to natural language but still manages to produce reasonable results.
Now one way people sometimes get around the independence assumption is to define variables that are technically combinations of things (like searching for the token 'buy viagra'). That can work if you know specific cases to look for but in general, in a game environment, it means that you can't generally remember anything. So each time you have to move, perform an action, etc, its completely independent of anything else you've done so far. I would say for even the simplest games, this is a very inefficient way to go about learning the game.
I would suggest looking into using q-learning instead. Most of the examples you'll find are usually just simple games anyway (like learning to navigate a map while avoiding walls, traps, monsters, etc). Reinforcement learning is a type of online unsupervised learning that does really well in situations that can be modeled as an agent interacting with an environment, like a game (or robots). It does this trying to figure out what the optimal action is at each state in the environment (where each state can include as many variables as needed, much more than just 'where am i'). The trick then is maintain just enough state that helps the bot make good decisions without having a distinct point in your state 'space' for every possible combination of previous actions.
To put that in more concrete terms, if you were to build a chess bot you would probably have trouble if you tried to create a decision policy that made decisions based on all previous moves since the set of all possible combinations of chess moves grows really quickly. Even a simpler model of where every piece is on the board is still a very large state space so you have to find a way to simplify what you keep track of. But notice that you do get to keep track of some state so that your bot doesn't just keep trying to make a left term into a wall over and over again.
The wikipedia article is pretty jargon heavy but this tutorial does a much better job translating the concepts into real world examples.
The one catch is that you do need to be able to define rewards to provide as the positive 'reinforcement'. That is you need to be able to define the states that the bot is trying to get to, otherwise it will just continue forever.

There is precedent: the monstrous rog-o-matic program succeeded in playing rogue and even returned with the amulet of Yendor a few times. Unfortunately, rogue was only released an a binary, not source, so it has died (unless you can set up a 4.3BSD system on a MicroVAX), leaving rog-o-matic unable to play any of the clones. It just hangs cos they're not close enough emulations.
However, rog-o-matic is, I think, my favourite program of all time, not only because of what it achieved but because of the readability of the code and the comprehensible intelligence of its algorithms. It used "genetic inheritance": a new player would inherit a combination of preferences from a previous pair of successful players, with some random offset, then be pitted against the machine. More successful preferences would migrate up in the gene pool and less successful ones down.
The source can be hard to find these days, but searching "rogomatic" will set you on the path.

I doubt bayesian analysis will get you far because most of NetHack is highly contextual. There are very few actions which are always a bad idea; most are also life-savers in the "right" situation (an extreme example is eating a cockatrice: that's bad, unless you are starving and currently polymorphed into a stone-resistant monster, in which case eating the cockatrice is the right thing to do). Some of those "almost bad" actions are required to win the game (e.g. coming up the stairs on level 1, or deliberately falling in traps to reach Gehennom).
What you could try would be trying to do it at the "meta" level. Design the bot as choosing randomly among a variety of "elementary behaviors". Then try to measure how these bots fare. Then extract the combinations of behaviors which seem to promote survival; bayesian analysis could do that among a wide corpus of games along with their "success level". For instance, if there are behaviors "pick up daggers" and "avoid engaging monsters in melee", I would assume that analysis would show that those two behaviors fit well together: bots which pick daggers up without using them, and bots which try to throw missiles at monsters without gathering such missiles, will probably fare worse.
This somehow mimics what learning gamers often ask for in rec.games.roguelike.nethack. Most questions are similar to: "should I drink unknown potions to identify them ?" or "what level should be my character before going that deep in the dungeon ?". Answers to those questions heavily depend on what else the player is doing, and there is no good absolute answer.
A difficult point here is how to measure the success at survival. If you simply try to maximize the time spent before dying, then you will favor bots which never leave the first levels; those may live long but will never win the game. If you measure success by how deep the character goes before dying then the best bots will be archeologists (who start with a pick-axe) in a digging frenzy.

Apparently there are a good number of Nethack bots out there. Check out this listing:

In nethack unknown actions usually have a boolean effect -- either you gain or you loose. Bayesian networks base around "fuzzy logic" values -- an action may give a gain with a given probability. Hence, you don't need a bayesian network, just a list of "discovered effects" and wether they are good or bad.
No need to eat the Cockatrice again, is there?
All in all it depends how much "knowledge" you want to give the bot as starters. Do you want him to learn everything "the hard way", or will you feed him spoilers 'till he's stuffed?

Related

Top down Game AI

I'm creating a game that requires the units onscreen to fight eachother, based on teams and designated enemies for each team. The player doesn't control any of the tanks or teams.
The issue is that the battle between the units (tanks at the moment) should be interesting enough to the player that they can watch and have fun without doing anything.
I currently have the tanks moving around totally randomly and shooting at each other when in range, but I'm looking for something smarter.
What types of ai and ai algorithms should I look into? All ideas are welcome, I simply want to make every battle interesting.
For strategies and tactics, your AI probably needs to do some rational decision making to make it look smarter. There are many ways to to this, the simplest way is write down a couple of condition-action rules for your tanks and implement them as a finite state machine. FSMs are simple to implement and easy to debug, but it gets tedious later when you want to revise the condition rules or add/remove any states. You can also use utility agents - the AI performs utility check on each potential goal (e.g. engage, retreat, reload/refuel, take cover, repair, etc.) based on current stats (ammo, health, enemy counts and locations) periodically and then chooses the most preferable goal. This take more time to implement compared to FSM, but it's more flexible in the way that you don't need to change the decision flow when you need to add or remove behaviors. It makes the AI look like it follows a general rule but not always predictable. Utility agent is also harder to debug and control because you don't have any rigid condition-action rules to trace like you do with FSM when your AI goes crazy. Another popular method is behavior tree. Action sequences are implemented as a tree structure. It requires more code to write upfront but usually gives you a better balance between control and flexibility than FSM and utility agent. These decision making processes are not mutually exclusive - you can any method for top level strategies and a different method for low level tactics.
Whatever decision making process you choose, you need some input to feed to your AI. You can use influence map help AI determine where in the battlefield is considered hostile and where is considered safe. Influence map is shared among the team so it can also help with group tactics. When your AI engages multiple enemies, selecting a right target is important. If your AIs pick a target that most human player wouldn't, the player is gonna feel the AI is "stupid", even when sometimes the chosen target is actually the best one. You can run distance check on the enemy units and filter/prioritize the target with line of sight, current weapon range, threat level, etc. Some tests are more expensive than others (line of sight check is usually one of the worst offender) so if you have a lot of enemy units in range you want to run those slower tests the last.
For tanks' movement, look into steering behaviors. It covers a lot of vehicle movement behaviors but pursue and evade are the ones that you need the most. Also look into A* for pathfinding if your tanks need to navigate around a complex terrain. There are other good pathing solutions that give you the shortest/fastest path, but in a game the shortest/fastest path is not always the optimal path. If your shortest path is open but too close to the enemy line, you want to give your tank some heuristic to take a different route. You can easily configure your path preference with A*.
Things to look into: finite state machine, utility based agent, behavior tree, steering behaviors, a* search algorithm, navigation waypoints or navigation mesh, influence map.
The simplest thing would be to have them drive in a random direction and when there is an enemy tank within range, they start shooting until one of them is destroyed. You could also have them randomly retreat when their health gets too low. You could also try adding group tactics where any tank that is not engaged will join (with some proability so that maybe it will, maybe it won't - just to keep things interesting) it's nearest neighbour in combat.
If you're looking for algorithms, A* ("A-Star") is a generic path-finding algorithm that could help your tanks move around, but I don't know of any generic algorithms to control the battles.

Giving a neural network "pain"

I've programmed a non-directional neural network. So kind of like the brain, all neurons are updated at the same time, and there are no explicit layers.
Now I'm wondering, how does pain work? How can I structure a neural network so that a "pain" signal will make it want to do anything to get rid of said pain.
It doesn't really work quite like that. The network you have described is too simple to have a concept like pain that it would try to get rid of. On a low level it's nothing but just another input, but obviously that doesn't make the network "dislike" it.
In order to gain such a signal, you could train the network to perform certain actions when it receives this particular signal. As it becomes more refined, this signal starts looking like a real pain signal, but it's nothing more than a specific training of the network.
The pain signal in higher animals has this "do anything to get rid of it" response because higher animals have rather advanced cognitive abilities compared to the network you have described. Worms, on the other hand, might respond in a very specific way to a "pain" input - twitch a certain way. It's hard-wired that way, and to say that the worm tries to do anything to get rid of the signal would be wrong; it's more like a motor connected to a button that spins every time you press the button.
Realistic mechanisms for getting artificial neural networks to do useful things are collectively known as "neural network training", and is a large and complex research area. You can google for this phrase to get various ideas.
You should be aware, however, that neural networks are not a panacea for solving hard problems; they don't automatically get things done through magic. Using them effectively requires a good deal of experimentation with traning algorithm tweaks and network parameter tweaks.
I don't know much (if anything) about AI theory, except that we are still looking for a way to give AI the model it needs to reason and think and ponder like real humans do. (We're still looking for the key - and maybe it's pain.)
Most of my adult life has been focused on computer programming and studying and understanding the mind.
I am writing here because I think that PAIN might be the missing link. (Also stackoverflow rocks right now.) I know that creating a model that actually enables higher thinking is a large leap, but I just had this amazing aha-type moment and had to share it. :)
In my studies of Buddhism, I learned of a scientist who studied leprosy cases. The reason lepers become deformed is because they don't feel pain when they come into contact with damaging forces. It's here that science and Buddhist reasoning collide in a fundamental truth.
Pain is what keeps us alive, defines our boundaries, and shapes how we make our choices and our world-view.
In an AI model, the principle would be to define a series of forces perhaps, that are constantly at play. The idea is to keep the mind alive.
The concept of ideas having life is something we humans also seem to play out. When someone "kills" your idea, by proving it wrong, at first, there is a resistance to the "death" of the idea. In fact, it takes a lot sometimes, to force an idea to be changed. We all know stubborn people... It has been said that the "death" of an idea, is the "death" of part of one's ego. The ego is always trying to build itself up.
So you see, to give AI an ego, you must give it pain, and then it will have to fight to build "safe" thoughts so that it may grow it's own ideas and eventually human psychosis and "consciousness".
Artificial neural networks do not recognize such a thing as "pain", but may actually be trained in order to avoid certain states. In a Hopfield network, the final state of the network is attained at the energy minimum that is closest to the starting state. The starting state in this context is the state where the network is at "pain". If you train the network to have its local energy minimum at a state where the "pain" is gone, it should modify itself until that state is achieved. A simple way to train a Hopfield network is assigning a weight to the interactions between neurons. That weight is decided according to Hebb's rule, which is given by: Wij = (1/n) * [i] * [j].
Wij is the weight of the connection between neuron i and neuron j, n is the total number of neurons in the matrix,and [i] and [j] are the states of neurons i and j, respectively, which can have values of 1 or -1. Once you have completed the weight matrix for a state in which the "pain" does not exist, the network should shift most of the time towards that state without mattering the initial state.
Think of Neural Networks as a multi-dimensional plane. Training a Neural Network is basically placing high and low points in the plane. The plane supports the "weights" and forms a depression around them. A depression in the plane is a desired output, and a highland is an undesired output. The idea of a neural network is to put the depressions in the areas that matter. Pain would look like a giant mountain. So an input neuron representing pain would have a very high probability of producing an undesired output.
But pain isn't the only thing that makes a creature behave the way it does. Pain to a tree doesn't cause much of a reaction. In animals, pain causes physiological reactions such as a surge in adrenaline. This causes a heightened state of awareness and a big uptick in energy consumption. To model the behavior of pain, you must provide a model of these mechanisms so that a stimulus of pain provides the appropriate output. In a NN, I imagine that it would need to be a Recursive Neural Network so that the pain has a duration proportionate to the input, so that the creature you are modeling avoids the pain for longer than the pain stimulus duration. This would be a healing period.
NNs tend to be more tree-like. By modeling an energy state with an energy cost, the creature would use minimal energy to survive, but use a lot of energy if by doing so, it moves it into the desired state faster than the cost of remaining in the undesired pain state. Going back to the hyperplane, this would look like a higher velocity off of the pain highland and into a desired "safe" depression. The vector's magnitude into the nearest depression is the motivation level of the NN to avoid pain. Training should naturally do this by adding heavy negative weights and biases to the pain inputs by always making the pain input result in a wrong answer, assuming the energy and awareness reaction is modeled into a recursive neural net.
I may have a partial answer to this question of how pain can be expressed in a neural network. For reference, the base network I use is an HTM algorithm. It is essentially a series of interconnected layers, each predicting their next input, correct predictions are rewarded using hebbian logic.
Theoretically, there could be some connections between layers that are gated, and this gate can only be opened by sufficient activation in another layer. This other layer would be rigged to only learn to recognize new patterns in the context of the pain trigger. Therefore, in the presence of pain-anticipated stimulus, the gated channel would be opened, creating a simulated attention system for the recognition of future pain. While this is not pain in itself, it is similar to fear.

How to imitate a player in an online game

I'd like to write an application, which would imitate a player in an online game.
About the game: it is a strategy, where you can:
train your army (you have to have enough resources, then click on a unit, click train)
build buildings (mines, armories, houses,...)
attack enemies (select a unit, select an enemy, click attack)
transport resources between buildings
make researches (economics, military, technologic,...)
This is a simplified list and is just an example. Main thing is, that you have to do a lot of clicking, if you want to advance...
I allready have the 'navigational' part of the application (I used Watin library - http://watin.sourceforge.net/). That means, that I can use high level objects and manipulate them, for example:
Soldiers soldiers = Navigator.GetAllSoldiers();
soldiers.Move(someLocation);
Now I'd like to take the next step - write a kind of AI, which would simulate my gaming style. For this I have two ideas (and I don't like either of them):
login to the game and then follow a bunch of if statements in a loop (check if someone is attacking me, check if I can build something, check if I can attack somebody, loop)
design a kind of scripting language and write a compiler for it. This way I could write simple scripts and run them (Login(); CheckForAnAttack(); BuildSomething(); ...)
Any other ideas?
PS: some might take this as cheating and it probably is, but I look on this as a learning project and it will never be published or reselled.
A bunch of if statements is the best option if the strategy is not too complicated. However, this solution does not scale very well.
Making a scripting language (or, domain specific language as one would call that nowadays) does not buy you much. You are not going to have other people create AI agents are you? You can better use your programming language for that.
If the strategy gets more involved, you may want to look at Bayesian Belief Networks or Decision Graphs. These are good at looking for the best action in an uncertain environment in a structured and explicit way. If you google on these terms you'll find plenty of information and libraries to use.
Sounds like you want a finite state machine. I've used them to various degrees of success in coding bots. Depending on the game you're botting you could be better off coding an AI that learns, but it sounds like yours is simple enough not to need that complexity.
Don't make a new language, just make a library of functions you can call from your state machine.
Most strategy game AIs use a "hierarchical" approach, much in the same way you've already described: define relatively separate domains of action (i.e. deciding what to research is mostly independent from pathfinding), and then create an AI layer to handle just that domain. Then have a "top-level" AI layer that directs the intermediate layers to perform tasks.
How each of those intermediate layers work (and how your "general" layer works) can each determined separately. You might come up with something rather rigid and straightforward for the "What To Research" layer (based on your preferences), but you may need a more complicated approach for the "General" layer (which is likely directing and responding to inputs of the other layers).
Do you have the sourcecode behind the game? If not, it's going to be kind of hard tracing the positions of each CPU you're (your computer in your case) is battling against. You'll have to develop some sort of plugin that can do it because from the sound of it, you're dealing with some sort of RTS of some sort; That requires the evaluation of a lot of different position scenarios between a lot of different CPUs.
If you want to simulate your movements, you could trace your mouse using some WinAPI quite easily. You can also record your screen as you play (which probably won't help much, but might be of assistance if you're determined enough.).
To be brutally honest, what you're trying to do is damn near impossible for the type of game you're playing with. You didn't seem to think this through yet. Programming is a useful skill, but it's not magic.
Check out some stuff (if you can find any) on MIT Battlecode. It might be up your alley in terms of programming for this sort of thing.
First of all I must point out that this project(which only serves educational purposes), is too large for a single person to complete within a reasonable amount of time. But if you want the AI to imitate your personal playing style, another alternative that comes to mind are neural networks: You play the game a lot(really a lot) and record all moves you make and feed that data to such a network, and if all goes well, the AI should play roughly the same as you do. But I'm afraid this is just a third idea you won't like, because it would take a tremendeous amount of time to get it perfect.

Learning the Structure of a Hierarchical Reinforcement Task

I've been studying hierachial reinforcement learning problems, and while a lot of papers propose interesting ways for learning a policy, they all seem to assume they know in advance a graph structure describing the actions in the domain. For example, The MAXQ Method for Hierarchial Reinforcement Learning by Dietterich describes a complex graph of actions and sub-tasks for a simple Taxi domain, but not how this graph was discovered. How would you learn the hierarchy of this graph, and not just the policy?
In Dietterich's MAXQ, the graph is constructed manually. It's considered to be a task for the system designer, in the same way that coming up with a representation space and reward functions are.
Depending on what you're trying to achieve, you might want to automatically decompose the state space, learn relevant features, or transfer experience from simple tasks to more complex ones.
I'd suggest you just start reading papers that refer to the MAXQ one you linked to. Without knowing what exactly what you want to achieve, I can't be very prescriptive (and I'm not really on top of all the current RL research), but you might find relevant ideas in the work of Luo, Bell & McCollum or the papers by Madden & Howley.
This paper describes one approach that is a good starting point:
N. Mehta, S. Ray, P. Tadepalli, and T. Dietterich. Automatic Discovery and Transfer of MAXQ Hierarchies. In International Conference on Machine Learning, 2008.
http://web.engr.oregonstate.edu/~mehtane/papers/hi-mat.pdf
Say there is this agent out there moving about doing things. You don't know its internal goals (task graph). How do you infer its goals?
In way way, this is impossible. Just as it is impossible for me to know what goal you had mind when you put that box down: maybe you were tired, maybe you saw a killer bee, maybe you had to pee....
You are trying to model an agent's internal goal structure. In order to do that you need some sort of guidance as to what are the set of possible goals and how these are represented by actions. In the research literature this problem has been studied under the terms "plan recognition" and also with the use of POMDP (partially observable markov decision process), but both of these techniques assume you do know something about the other agent's goals.
If you don't know anything about its goals, all you can do is either infer one of the above models (This is what we humans do. I assume others have the same goals I do. I never think, "Oh, he dropped his laptop, he must be ready to lay an egg" cse, he's a human.) or model it as a black box: a simple state-to-actions function then add internal states as needed (hmmmm, someone must have written a paper on this, but I don't know who).

Need suggestions for an Applied AI project

I have a course in my current semester in which I'm required to do a project on application of AI. I have decided to do this on game AI. I have 2 basic ideas: implementing an FPS bot(s) or implementing soccer AI.
I'm quiet a noob at AI right now, I've implemented basic pathfinding algos (A*, etc), and have studied about Finite state machines, some First Order logic, basic Neural Network stuff(Backpropagation ALgo), and am currently doing a course on Genetic Algorithms.
Our main focus is on the bot right now. Our plans include:
Each 'bot' would be implemented using a Finite State Machine (FSM), which would contain the possible states the bot could have; & the rules for the action/state changes that are going to take place when it receives an input.
In bot group movement, each bot would decide whether to strike, ways to strike; based on range, number of bots, existing fights using Neural Networks.
By using genetic algorithms the opponents next move could be anticipated based on repetitive moves.
Although I've programmed a few 2d games till now in my free time (like pacman, tetris, etc), I've never really gone into the 3d area. We will most probably be using a 3d engine.
We want to concentrate most of our energy on the AI part. We would like not to be bothered with unnecessary details about the animation/3d models, etc. For example, if we could find a framework which has functions like Moveright() which just moves the bot to the right, it would be really awesome.
My basic question is : is it too ambitious to go about it in the way we have planned, considering the duration of the project is abour 3 months? Should we go 3d and use a 3d game engine? is it easy to use such engines, if you have no experience with them before? If yes, what kind of engine would be suitable to our project?
I came accross another idea, given in the book AI Game programming by example, where the player would have a top down view of the bots. Would that way be more appropriate?
Thanks .. sorry about the length of the question .. it's just that my problem is a bit too specific.
My basic question is : is it too
ambitious to go about it in the way we
have planned, considering the duration
of the project is abour 3 months?
Yes -- but that's not necessarily a bad thing :)
Should we go 3d and use a 3d game
engine?
No. Mainly because you said:
We want to concentrate most of our
energy on the AI part.
Here's what I'd do, based on my experience (and knowing that, as a student, I often bit off way more than I could chew, too):
Make your simulation function irrespective of a graphical component. Have it publish "updates" to another layer, that consist of player and ball vectors. By doing so you'll be keeping your AI tasks separate from everything else, which means you have fewer bugs to worry about, and you can also unit test your underlying simulation much easier.
Take those "updates" and create your first "visualization" layer -- make it the simplest 2D representation possible. It could just be a stream of text lines: "Player 1 has the ball / Player 1 kicked ball at (30,40) with speed 20kph". That will be hard enough for your first pass since you'll be figuring out how to take data published by the simulation and doing something with it.
Your next visualization might add a 2D grid of ANSI graphics (think rogue-like) to actually show players and the ball moving. Your next one after that might be sprites. And so on. Note how you incrementally increase the complexity of your visualization... don't make your first step go to using a technology (3d graphics engine) you've never used before. (You'll never finish your project in that case.)
As for your questions about which route to take -- FSMs, NNs, GAs, top-down design -- you should rank your interest in them from most to least (along with the rest of your group) and then tackle them, in that order. You might consider doing one style for one team and a different design for the other team. You might want to make your FSM team play against a FSM team that's had an additional tweak done to it, in order to compare and contrast if you think your changes are actually being beneficial (you might be surprised and find out they make the team worse). Actually, that's where unit testing and splitting the simulation from the visualization come in very, very handy -- you should be able to "sim" as many games as you need to to get experimental results without worrying about graphics. You might even do it in batches overnight with scripts.
In general, my advice to you is this: break down your project into the tiniest pieces you can, and tackle them one at a time, so no matter where you're at when time runs out, you'll have something interesting to show off.
You could have a look at guntactyx, that's what I had to use when I did my AI unit at uni.
It takes care of all the display, physics, sound etc... for you, all you have to do is program your team of bots.
The API includes functions to make the bot move left or right, shoot, hear sounds (like gun shots) etc... and it comes with a few sample bots so you don't start from scratch.
Also, it's quite fun to watch your bots battling your friends' bots :)

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