Neural network inputs - artificial-intelligence

I don't really know how to word this question so bear with me..
Let's say I am developing a neural network for rating each runner in an athletics race. I give the neural network information regarding the runner, eg. win%, days since last run etc. etc.
My question is - in this case where the neural network is rating runners, can I give the network an input like the race weather ? e.g. I give the network 1.00 for hot, 2.00 for cold, 3.00 for OK .. ?
The reason I am asking this question: The greater the output of the neural network, the better the runner. So, this means that the higher the win % input, the bigger the rating. If I give the neural network inputs whereby the greater the value doesn't necessarily mean the better the runner, will the network be able to understand and use/interpret this input?
Please let me know if the question doesn't make sense!

Neural nets can correctly model irrelevant inputs (by assigning them low weights) and inputs that are inversely related to the desired output (by assigning negative weights). Neural nets do better with inputs that are continuously-varying, so your example of 1.00 for hot, 2.00 for cold, 3.00 for OK .. is not ideal: better would be 0.00 for hot, 1.00 for OK, 2.00 for cool.
In situations such as your country code where there is no real continuous relationship, the best encoding (from a convergence standpoint) is to use a set of boolean attributes (isArgentina, isAustralia, ..., isZambia). Even without that, though, a neural net ought to be able to model an input of discrete values (i.e., if countries were relevant and if you encoded them as numbers, eventually a neural net should be able to converge on 87 (Kenya) is correlated with high performance). In such a situation, it might take more hidden nodes or a longer training period.
The whole point of neural nets is to use them in situations where simple statistical analysis is difficult, so I disagree with the other answer that says that you should pre-judge your data.

What a neural network does is map relations between inputs and outputs. This means that you have to have some kind of objective for your neural network. Examples of such objectives could be "to predict the winner", "to predict how fast each runner will be" or to "predict the complete results from a race". Which of those examples that are plausible for you to attempt depends, of course, on what data you have available.
If you have a large dataset (say e.g. a few hundred races for each runner) where the resulting time and all predictory variables (including weather) are recorded and you establish that there is a relationship between weather and an individual runners performance a neural network would very well be able to map such a relationship, even if it is a different relationship for each individual runner.
Example of good weather variables to record could be sun intensity (W/m2), head wind (m/s) and temperature (deg C). Then each runners performance could be modeled using these variables and then the neural network could be used to predict a runners performance (observe that this approach would require one neural network per runner).

Related

How to evaluate a recurrent connection in an artificial neural network?

I just can't understand how should I compute the output of a neural network, which contains a recurrent connection.
So here is an example (I can't post images yet..):
http://i.imgur.com/XdXupIj.png
(i_1,2 are the input values, w_1,2,3,r are the connection weights, and o_1 is the output value.)
For the sake of simplicity, let's say that there are no activation or transfer functions.
If I understand the workings of ANNs correctly, then in case of not taking the red recurrent connection into consideration, the output is calculated as
o_1=(w_1*i_1+w_2*i_2)*w_3
However, what is the case when the red connection is taken into account? Would it be
o_1=((w_1*i_1+w_2*i_2)+(w_1*i_1+w_2*i_2)*w_r)*w_3
maybe? But that's just my guess.
Thanks in advance.
The RNN is not a usual network. The usual network has no time, but RNN has time. The digitalized signals go to the input of the net. So for example, for i_1 we have not one value, but signal i_1[t=0], i_1[t=1],i_1[t=2], … The red connection has delay inside itself and the delay is one unit of time. Thus, to calculate the output of the H1 you need to use the following recurrent formula:
o[t]=w_1*i_1[t]+w_2*i_2[t])+o[t-1]*w_r
You see here o[t-1] that means delay at one unit of time.
Speaking about recurrent neural networks, you may find many examples of using it. Recently we have participated in machine learning contest and tried to use the RNN for classification of EEG signals, but faced with some obstacles. Here are the details: http://rnd.azoft.com/classification-eeg-signals-brain-computer-interface/.
A recurrent neural network (RNN) is a class of artificial neural network where connections between units form a directed cycle. Unlike feedforward neural networks, RNNs can use their internal memory to process arbitrary sequences of inputs.
To me, it seems like :
o_1=(w_1*i_1+w_2*i_2)*w_r*w_3
Note: Please note if this is homework.

How to determine the threshold for neuron firings in neural networks?

I have a simple task to classify people by their height and hair length to either MAN or WOMAN category using a neural network. Also teach it the pattern with some examples and then use it to classify on its own.
I have a basic understanding of neural networks but would really need some help here.
I know that each neuron divides the area to two subareas, basically that is why P = w0 + w1*x1 + w2*x2 + ... + wn*xn is being used here (weights are just moving the line if we consider geometric representation).
I do understand that each epoche should modify the weights to get closer to correct result, yet I have never program it and I am hopeless about how to start.
How should I proceed, meaning: How can I determine the threshold and how should I deal with the inputs?
It is not a homework rather than task for the ones who were interested. I am and I would like to understand it.
Looks like you are dealing with a simple Perceptron with a threshold activation function. Have a look at this question. Since you ARE using a bias neuron (w0), you would set the threshold to 0.
You then simply take the output of your network and compare it to 0, so you would e.g. output class 1 if x < 0 and class 2 if x > 0. You could model the case x=0 as "indistinct".
For learning the weights you need to apply the Delta Learning Rule which can be implemented very easily. But be careful: a perceptron with a simple threshold activation function can only be correct if your data are linearly separable. If you have more complex data you will need a Multilayer Perceptron and a nonlinear activation function like the Logistic Sigmoid Function.
Have a look at Geoffrey Hintons Coursera Course, Lecture 2 for details.
I've been working with machine learning lately (but I'm not an expert) but you should look at the Accord.NET framework. It contains all the common machine learning algorithme out of the box. So it's easy to take an existing samples and modify it instead of starting from scratch. Also, the developper of the framework is very helpful in the forum available on the same page.
With the available samples, you may also discover something better than neural network like the Kernel Support Vector Machine. If you stick to the neural network, have fun modifying all the different variables and by tryout and error you will understand how it work.
Have fun!
Since you said:
I know that each neuron divides the area to two subareas
&
weights are just moving the line if we consider geometric representation
I think you want to use perseptron or ADALINE neural networks. These neural networks can just classify linear separable patterns. since your input data is complicated, It's better to use a Multi layer Non-Linear Neural network. (my suggestion is a two layer neural network with tanh activation function) . For training these network you should use back propagation algorithm.
For answering to
how should I deal with the inputs?
I need to know more details about the inputs( Like: are they just height and hair length or there is more, what is their range and your resolution and etc.)
If you're dealing with just height and hair length I suggest that divide heights and length in some classes (for example 160cm-165cm, 165cm-170cm & etc.) and for each one of these classes set an On/Off input neuron. then put a hidden layer after all classes related to heights and another hidden layer after all classes related to hair length (tanh activation function). Number of neurons in these two hidden layer is determined based on number of training cases.
then take these two hidden layer output and send them to an aggregation layer with 1 output neuron.

How do I handle uncertainty/missing data in an Artifical Neural Network?

The context:
I'm experimenting with using a feed-forward artificial neural network to create AI for a video game, and I've run into the problem that some of my input features are dependent upon the existence or value of other input features.
The most basic, simplified example I can think of is this:
feature 1 is the number of players (range 2...5)
feature 2 to ? is the score of each player (range >=0)
The number of features needed to inform the ANN of the scores is dependent on the number of players.
The question: How can I represent this dynamic knowledge input to an ANN?
Things I've already considered:
Simply not using such features, or consolidating them into static input.
I.E using the sum of the players scores instead. I seriously doubt this is applicable to my problem, it would result in the loss of too much information and the ANN would fail to perform well.
Passing in an error value (eg -1) or default value (eg 0) for non-existant input
I'm not sure how well this would work, in theory the ANN could easily learn from this input and model the function appropriately. In practise I'm worried about the sheer number of non-existant input causing problems for the ANN. For example if the range of players was 2-10, if there were only 2 players, 80% of the input data would be non-existant and would introduce weird bias into the ANN resulting in a poor performance.
Passing in the mean value over the training set in place on non-existant input
Again, the amount of non-existant input would be a problem, and I'm worried this would introduce weird problems for discrete-valued inputs.
So, I'm asking this, does anybody have any other solutions I could think about? And is there a standard or commonly used method for handling this problem?
I know it's a rather niche and complicated question for SO, but I was getting bored of the "how do I fix this code?" and "how do I do this in PHP/Javascript?" questions :P, thanks guys.
It sounds like you have multiple data sets (for each number of players) that aren't really compatible with each other. Would lessons learned from a 5-player game really apply to a 2-player game? Try simplifying the problem, such as #1, and see how the program performs. In AI, absurd simplifications can sometimes give you a lot of traction, like bag of words in spam filters.
Try thinking about some model like the following:
Say xi (e.g. x1) is one of the inputs that a variable number of can exist. You can have n of these (x1 to xn). Let y be the rest of the inputs.
On your first hidden layer, pass x1 and y to the first c nodes, x1,x2 and y to the next c nodes, x1,x2,x3 and y to the next c nodes, and so on. This assumes x1 and x3 can't both be active without x2. The model will have to change appropriately if this needs to be possible.
The rest of the network is a standard feed-forward network with all nodes connected to all nodes of the next layer, or however you choose.
Whenever you have w active inputs, disable all but the wth set of c nodes (completely exclude them from training for that input set, don't include them when calculating the value for the nodes they output to, don't update the weights for their inputs or outputs). This will allow most of the network to train, but for the first hidden layer, only parts applicable to that number of inputs.
I suggest c is chosen such that c*n (the number of nodes in the first hidden layer) is greater than (or equal to) the number of nodes in the 2nd hidden layer (and have c be at the very least 10 for a moderately sized network (into the 100s is also fine)) and I also suggest the network have at least 2 other hidden layers (so 3 in total excluding input and output). This is not from experience, but just what my intuition tells me.
This working is dependent on a certain (possibly undefinable) similarity between the different numbers of inputs, and might not work well, if at all, if this similarity doesn't exist. This also probably requires quite a bit of training data for each number of inputs.
If you try it, let me / us know if it works.
If you're interested in Artificial Intelligence discussions, I suggest joining some Linked-In group dedicated to it, there are some that are quite active and have interesting discussions. There doesn't seem to be much happening on stackoverflow when it comes to Artificial Intelligence, or maybe we should just work to change that, or both.
UPDATE:
Here is a list of the names of a few decent Artificial Intelligence LinkedIn groups (unless they changed their policies recently, it should be easy enough to join):
'Artificial Intelligence Researchers, Faculty + Professionals'
'Artificial Intelligence Applications'
'Artificial Neural Networks'
'AGI — Artificial General Intelligence'
'Applied Artificial Intelligence' (not too much going on at the moment, and still dealing with some spam, but it is getting better)
'Text Analytics' (if you're interested in that)

Backpropagation overall error chart with very small slope... Is this normal?

I'm training a neural network with backpropagation algorithm and this is the chart of Overall Errors:
( I'm calculating Overall error by this formula : http://www.colinfahey.com/neural_network_with_back_propagation_learning/neural_network_with_back_propagation_learning_en.html Part 6.3 : Overall training error)
I have used Power Trendline and after calculations, I saw that if epoches = 13000 => overall error = 0.2
Isn't this too high?
Is this chart normal? Seems that the training process will take too long... Right? What should I do? Isn't there any faster way?
EDIT : My neural network has a hidden layer with 200 neurons. and my input and output layers have 10-12 neurons. My problem is clustering characters. (it clusters Persian characters into some clusters with supervised training)
So you are using a ANN with 200 input nodes with 10-12 hidden nodes in the hidden layer, what activation function are you using if any for your hidden layer and output layer?
Is this a standard back propagation training algorithm and what training function are you using?
Each type of training function will affect the speed of training and in some cases its ability to generalise, you don't want to train against your data such that your neural network is only good for your training data.
So ideally you want decent training data that could be a sub sample of your real data say 15%.
You could training your data using conjugate gradient based algorithm:
http://www.mathworks.co.uk/help/toolbox/nnet/ug/bss331l-1.html#bss331l-2
this will train your network quickly.
10-12 nodes may not be ideal for your data, you can try changing the number in blocks of 5 or add another layer, in general more layers will improve the ability of your network to classify your problem but will increase the computational complexity and hence slow down the training.
Presumably these 10-12 nodes are 'features' you are trying to classify?
If so, you may wish to normalise them, so rescale each to between 0 and 1 or -1 to 1 depending on your activation function (e.g. tan sigmoidal will produce values in range -1 to +1):
http://www.heatonresearch.com/node/706
You may also train a neural network to identify the ideal number of nodes you should have in your hidden layer.

Multiple Output Neural Network

I have built my first neural network in python, and i've been playing around with a few datasets; it's going well so far !
I have a quick question regarding modelling events with multiple outcomes: -
Say i wish to train a network to tell me the probability of each runner winning a 100m sprint. I would give the network all of the relevant data regarding each runner, and the number of outputs would be equal to the number of runners in the race.
My question is, using a sigmoid function, how can i ensure the sum of the outputs will be equal to 1.0 ? Will the network naturally learn to do this, or will i have to somehow make this happen explicitly ? If so, how would i go about doing this ?
Many Thanks.
The output from your neural network will approach 1. I don't think it will actually get to 1.
You actually don't need to see which output is equal to 1. Once you've trained your network up to a specific error level, when you present the inputs, just look for the maximum output in your output later. For example, let's say your output layer presents the following output: [0.0001, 0.00023, 0.0041, 0.99999412, 0.0012, 0.0002], then the runner that won the race is runner number 4.
So yes, your network will "learn" to produce 1, but it won't exactly be 1. This is why you train to within a certain error rate. I recently created a neural network to recognize handwritten digits, and this is the method that I used. In my output layer, I have a vector with 10 components. The first component represents 0, and the last component represents 9. So when I present a 4 to the network, I expect the output vector to look like [0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0]. Of course, it's not what I get exactly, but it's what I train the network to provide. So to find which digit it is, I simply check to see which component has the highest output or score.
Now in your second question, I believe you're asking how the network would learn to provide the correct answer? To do this, you need to provide your network with some training data and train it until the output is under a certain error threshold. So what you need is a set of data that contains the inputs and the correct output. Initially your neural network will be set up with random weights (there are some algorithms that help you select better weights to minimize training time, but that's a little more advanced). Next you need a way to tell the neural network to learn from the data provided. So basically you give the data to the neural network and it provides an output, which is highly likely to be wrong. Then you compare that data with the expected (correct) output and you tell the neural network to update its weights so that it gets closer to the correct answer. You do this over and over again until the error is below a certain threshold.
The easiest way to do this is to implement the stochastic backpropagation algorithm. In this algorithm, you calculate the error between the actual output of the neural network and the expected output. Then you backpropagate the error from the output layer all the way up to the weights to the hidden layer, adjusting the weights as you go. Then you repeat this process until the error that you calculate is below a certain threshold. So during each step, you're getting closer and closer towards your solution.
You can use the algorithm described here. There is a decent amount of math involved, so be prepared for that! If you want to see an example of an implementation of this algorithm, you can take a look at this Java code that I have on github. The code uses momentum and a simple form of simulated annealing as well, but the standard backpropagation algorithm should be easily discernible. The Wikipedia article on backpropagation has a link to an implementation of the backpropagation algorithm in Python.
You're probably not going to understand the algorithm immediately; expect to spend some time understanding it and working through some of the math. I sat down with a pencil and paper as I was coding, and that's how I eventually understood what was going on.
Here are a few resources that should help you understand backpropagation a little better:
The learning process: backpropagation
Error backpropagation
If you want some more resources, you can also take a look at my answer here.
Basically you want a function of multiple real numbers that converts those real numbers into probabilities (each between 0 to 1, sum to 1). You can this easily by post processing the output of your network.
Your network gives you real numbers r1, r2, ..., rn that increases as the probability of each runner wins the race.
Then compute exp(r1), exp(r2), ..., and sum them up for ers = exp(r1) + exp(r2) + ... + exp(rn). Then the probability that the first racer wins is exp(r1) / ers.
This is a one use of the Boltzman distribution. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Boltzmann_distribution
Your network should work around that and learn it naturally eventually.
To make the network learn that a little faster, here's what springs to mind first:
add an additional output called 'sum' (summing all the other output neurons) -- if you want all the output neurons to be in an separate layer, just add a layer of outputs, first numRunners outputs just connect to corresponding neuron in the previous layer, and the last numRunners+1-th neuron you connect to all the neurons from the previous layer, and fix the weights to 1)
the training set would contain 0-1 vectors for each runner (did-did not run), and the "expected" result would be a 0-1 vector 00..00001000..01 first 1 marking the runner that won the race, last 1 marking the "sum" of "probabilities"
for the unknown races, the network would try to predict which runner would win. Since the outputs have contiguous values (more-or-less :D) they can be read as "the certainty of the network that the runner would win the race" -- which is what you're looking for
Even without the additional sum neuron, this is the rough description of the way the training data should be arranged.

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